The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
İmişli 38.5%
Draw 30.5%
Karvan 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
26.5%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
25.7%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İmişli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İmişli's form might have worsened.
Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karvan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İmişli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karvan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
İmişli - Karvan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Ali I. (G) 21. Agazada A. 29. Banguera E. (C) 20. Huseynov N. 5. Inqilably I. 44. Isayev H. 97. Mahmudov K. 11. Qanbarov V. 77. Rahimzada E. 70. Tahirov M. 3. Yusifli T.
1. Ibrahimov K. (G) 17. Abdullayev S. 8. Kings P. 13. Masimov V. 37. Ngwisani M. 42. Qadirzada I. 16. Rustamli R. 5. Rustamov E. 2. Sno S. 11. Spence K. C. 33. Turabov E. (C)
Substitutes
90. Abbaszadeh R. 79. Cardoso D. 47. Faracov O. 10. Karaklajic N. 17. Morgan E. 30. Mursalli K. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 33. Sinenko A. (G) 94. Viegas R. 6. Yaw M.
18. Ahmadov S. 25. Bulud A. (G) 14. Cahangirov U. 10. Durrant S. 19. Thompson G.
Coaches
Casquilha
Mammadov F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Kings P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Huseynov N. ↓, Viegas R. ↑,
61', Kings P. ↓, Thompson G. ↑,
61', Rustamli R. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
65', Qanbarov V. ↓, Mursalli K. ↑,
65', Mahmudov K. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,
74', Abdullayev S. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
82', Tahirov M. ↓, Faracov O. ↑,
88', Spence K. C. ↓, Ahmadov S. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Cardoso D. ⚽,
Preview
Karvan is Relegated to I Liqa
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 2.
İmişli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Karvan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
İmişli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, İmişli is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, İmişli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).