Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Quba OIK stadionu (Quba)

Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	İmişli		Sabah

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.05	1.4
	7.6	4.3	1.42
	6.61	4.21	1.43	Watch
	7	3.9	1.4
	7.7	4.05	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↓ (7.28)	4.1 ↑ (4.04)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İmişli
12.8%

Draw
22.3%

Sabah
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

22.7%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

22%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

İmişli - Sabah Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. İmişli will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sabah will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sinenko A. (G) 29. Banguera E. 23. Diogo Rollo 9. Dos Santos D. 5. Inqilably I. 44. Isayev H. 7. Juninho 10. Karaklajic N. 17. Morgan E. 19. Salahly A. (C) 94. Viegas R.	92. Pokatilov S. (C) 5. Dashdamirov R. 10. Isayev A. 13. Lepinjica I. 20. Mickels J. 11. Parris K. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 70. Sekidika J. 3. Solvet S. 80. Zedadka A.
Substitutes
21. Agazada A. 79. Cardoso D. 20. Huseynov N. 97. Mahmudov K. 30. Mursalli K. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 3. Yusifli T.	9. Aliyev K. 53. Andrey 12. Ayyubov R. (G) 83. Ende S. 6. Khaybulaev A. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 89. Mukhtarov C. 17. Mutallimov T. 22. Ould Khaled Z. 2. Seydiyev A. 21. Simic V. 40. Ygor Nogueira
Coaches
Casquilha	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Solvet S. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Mickels J. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Banguera E. ↓, Yusifli T. ↑,
35', 0 - 3, Mickels J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Inqilably I. ↓, Agazada A. ↑,
46', Viegas R. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Parris K. ⚽,
59', Juninho ↓, Mursalli K. ↑,
66', Mickels J. ↓, Aliyev K. ↑,
66', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Ould Khaled Z. ↑,
69', Agazada A. 🟨,
73', 0 - 5, Isayev A. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Isayev A. ↓, Simic V. ↑,
75', Lepinjica I. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
79', Dos Santos D. ↓, Mahmudov K. ↑,
84', Solvet S. ↓, Andrey ↑,

Preview

İmişli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sabah is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

İmişli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sabah is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, İmişli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sabah Baku	5	5	0	0	14:1	13	15
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
08.03.26	Shamakhi - İmişli	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Turan Tovuz - İmişli	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	İmişli - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	İmişli - Kapaz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTLT
- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
10.03.26	Sabah - Gabala	7:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
05.03.26	Gabala - Sabah	3:4 penalties ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Sabah - Kapaz	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Gabala - Sabah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
03.12.25	İmişli - Sabah	1:2 ET
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.11.25	İmişli - Sabah	0:3
31.08.25	Sabah - İmişli	0:1

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