Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Quba OIK stadionu (Quba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	İmişli		Kapaz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.33	3.2	3.48
	2.12	3.15	3.36	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.23	2.83	3.33
	2.25	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.86)	3.02 ↑ (2.99)	3.27 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İmişli
41.7%

Draw
30.3%

Kapaz
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İmişli's performance.

Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kapaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İmişli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kapaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

İmişli - Kapaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. İmişli will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Kapaz will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for İmişli: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Kapaz (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapaz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sinenko A. (G) 29. Banguera E. 23. Diogo Rollo 9. Dos Santos D. 5. Inqilably I. 7. Juninho 17. Morgan E. 14. Ronaldo 19. Salahly A. (C) 94. Viegas R. 6. Yaw M.	33. Imanov Y. (G) 4. Abuladze M. 14. Fofana A. 11. Haciyev R. 5. Huseynli R. 27. Isayev M. 10. Ohori R. 24. Onanuga O. 9. Pachu 88. Seyidov S. 29. Verdasca D. (C)
Substitutes
21. Agazada A. 79. Cardoso D. 44. Isayev H. 10. Karaklajic N. 30. Mursalli K. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 77. Rahimzada E. 70. Tahirov M. 3. Yusifli T.	20. Abilov E. 66. Atakishiyev A. 12. Ba M. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 22. Huseynov M. (G) 23. Kalantarov F. 77. Nabiyev F. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 21. Shafiyev S. 7. Shahverdiyev E.
Coaches
Casquilha	Bagirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Abuladze M. 🟨,
42', Salahly A. ↓, Isayev H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Isayev M. ↓, Shahverdiyev E. ↑,
64', Haciyev R. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
64', Morgan E. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,
64', Inqilably I. ↓, Agazada A. ↑,
73', Pachu ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
75', Yaw M. ↓, Tahirov M. ↑,
83', Ronaldo 🟨,
89', Onanuga O. ↓, Ba M. ↑,
90+2', Banguera E. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

İmişli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kapaz has had a series of away games.

İmişli could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.01.26	Gabala - İmişli	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	İmişli - Araz Naxçıvan	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Zira - İmişli	0:0 ✺
15.12.25	İmişli - Karvan	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Sumgayit - İmişli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTTL
- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Cup
05.02.26	Turan Tovuz - Kapaz	1:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
31.01.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Karvan - Kapaz	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Gabala - Kapaz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
24.10.25	Kapaz - İmişli	0:3
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.24	Kapaz - İmişli	1:0

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