Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu (Gabala) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Azerbaijan	16:00	CBC Sport


	Gabala		Sabah

	1	X	2
	4.80	3.90	1.52
	7.4	4.6	1.3	Watch
	8.15	4.88	1.31
	8.4	4.75	1.32	Watch
	7.95	4.75	1.28
	9.5	4.5	1.28
	7.6	4.8	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.69 ↓ (7.9)	4.6 ↓ (5.1)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabala
11.9%

Draw
19.8%

Sabah
68.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.1%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

16.9%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sabah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabala - Sabah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agayev S. (C) 27. Ahmadov E. 24. Akinade I. 16. Amoah I. 4. Camalov E. 3. Edson Eduardo 23. Raphael Utzig 66. Rashidov N. 10. Shahniyarov S. 6. Sierra J. 80. Ubochioma M.	94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 35. Bulus J. 18. Carlos Eduardo 5. Dashdamirov R. 88. Fernandes R. 10. Isayev A. (C) 33. Junior Almeida 6. Khaybulaev A. 23. Lachaab Y. 17. Mutallimov T. 34. Severina X.
Substitutes
81. Agayev S. 13. Aliyev N. 7. Bruno Silva 8. Cekici E. 74. Damadayev S. 94. Hushanov H. (G) 22. Iskandarov F. 11. Mammadov A. 5. Monzango N. 21. Shakarkhanov Z. 2. Yaqubov A.	9. Aliyev K. 13. Lepinjica I. 99. Mbina O. 4. McCarthy A. 20. Mickels J. 8. Nwachukwu C. 11. Parris K. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 1. Ramazanov A. (G) 16. Rustamli R. 21. Simic V.
Coaches
Bekjiri J.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Khaybulaev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Bulus J. ↓, Puchacz T. ↑,
46', Ubochioma M. ↓, Cekici E. ↑,
63', Severina X. ↓, Mickels J. ↑,
63', Lachaab Y. ↓, Nwachukwu C. ↑,
66', Akinade I. ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
72', Fernandes R. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Isayev A. ⚽,
79', Sierra J. ↓, Shakarkhanov Z. ↑,
86', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Aliyev K. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Mickels J. ⚽,
88', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Mammadov A. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 4, Isayev A. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Gabala (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sabah shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gabala could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Sabah enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gabala has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:41 (averaging 1:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gabala against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 12:17 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sabah FC	8	6	2	0	18:1	17	20
10	Gabala	9	2	1	6	5:16	-11	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
10.10.26	Sumgayit - Gabala	4:1 ✺
18.09.26	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Kapaz - Gabala	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Gabala - İmişli	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWT
- Sabah Baku FK
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Sabah - Slavia Prague	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
09.10.26	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sabah - İmişli	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Şəfa - Sabah	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Manchester United - Sabah	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
10.03.26	Sabah - Gabala	7:1
Azerbaijan Cup
05.03.26	Gabala - Sabah	3:4 penalties
Azerbaijan Premier League
16.02.26	Gabala - Sabah	0:1
Azerbaijan Cup
04.02.26	Sabah - Gabala	0:0
Azerbaijan Premier League
03.11.25	Sabah - Gabala	1:0
12.05.24	Gabala - Sabah	2:0
09.03.24	Sabah - Gabala	2:1

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