Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yevlakh City Stadium (Yevlakh) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Azerbaijan	15:00	CBC Sport


	İmişli		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.00	2.65
	2.4	2.92	2.75	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.98
	2.47	3.08	2.81	Watch
	2.55	2.7	2.95
	2.4	2.92	3.23	Watch
	2.45	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.06)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	2.89 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İmişli
37.3%

Draw
30.9%

Shamakhi
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.7%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

29%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İmişli's performance.

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shamakhi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İmişli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shamakhi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

İmişli - Shamakhi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Imanov Y. (G) 55. Alakbarov M. 80. Deco 23. Diogo Rollo 9. Dos Santos D. 14. Hasanalizada B. 5. Inqilably I. 77. Nabiyev F. 21. Ronaldo 19. Salahly A. (C) 13. Viegas R.	1. Ricardo Fernandes (C) 9. Akhvlediani T. 13. Apolinario R. 11. Bouali A. 80. Ismayilov H. 3. Jota 97. Mammadov O. 25. Marques F. 52. Moumini A. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 5. Rustamov E.
Substitutes
29. Banguera E. 10. Cardoso D. 17. Faracov S. 8. Hernandez J. 22. Mammadzada S. (G) 30. Mursalli K. 70. Tahirov M. 3. Yusifli T.	10. Adilkhanov E. 66. Bagyrzada C. 14. Cahangirov U. 8. Dego D. 96. Qarazoglu N. (G) 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 88. Shiraliyev H. 19. Shuaibu A. 7. Suleymanov E. 77. Tahmazli O. 2. Xeyrullayev F.
Coaches
Perkons E.	Bagirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽,
27', Moumini A. 🟨,
29', Marques F. 🟨,
40', Mammadov O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Akhvlediani T. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
46', Alakbarov M. ↓, Banguera E. ↑,
46', Ismayilov H. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
53', Banguera E. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
59', Mammadov O. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Shuaibu A. ⚽,
67', Deco ↓, Faracov S. ↑,
88', Bouali A. ↓, Tahmazli O. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Faracov S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Dos Santos D. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 10th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 0.

Recent results have been tough for İmişli (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Shamakhi shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

İmişli may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, İmişli has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for İmişli against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shamakhi	9	3	4	2	13:11	2	13
8	Imisli FK	9	3	1	5	9:14	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.10.26	İmişli - Turan Tovuz	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	İmişli - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Sabah - İmişli	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	İmişli - Neftchi Baku	2:3 ✺
04.09.26	Gabala - İmişli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLL
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
16.10.26	Shamakhi - Şəfa	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
08.03.26	Shamakhi - İmişli	0:0
22.02.26	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0
07.11.25	Shamakhi - İmişli	1:0
Azerbaijan First Division
29.03.24	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0
14.12.23	Shamakhi - İmişli	0:0
28.09.23	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:3

İmişli - Shamakhi