Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zira Stadium (Zira) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Azerbaijan	17:00	CBC Sport


	Zira		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.20	4.00
	1.82	3.10	4.00	Watch
	1.87	3.25	5.09
	1.79	3.36	4.33	Watch
	1.83	2.85	5.00
	1.86	3.22	4.49
	1.84	3.20	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	3.17 ↓ (3.26)	4.43 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
50.3%

Draw
29%

Shamakhi
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zira's performance.

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shamakhi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shamakhi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zira - Shamakhi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Quliyev H. (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 11. Guseynov A. 8. Ibrahimli I. 3. Legbo D. 21. Martins R. 33. Misahsah M. 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 2. Seydiyev A. 9. Volkovi D.	1. Ricardo Fernandes (C) 13. Apolinario R. 11. Bouali A. 14. Cahangirov U. 3. Jota 97. Mammadov O. 25. Marques F. 52. Moumini A. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 5. Rustamov E. 19. Shuaibu A.
Substitutes
14. Alicanov E. 7. Aydin E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 57. Haciyev Y. 6. Hacyly H. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 10. Papunashvili G. 23. Smith D. 43. Suleymanzade A.	10. Adilkhanov E. 9. Akhvlediani T. 66. Bagyrzada C. 8. Dego D. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Muradly S. 96. Qarazoglu N. (G) 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 88. Shiraliyev H. 7. Suleymanov E. 77. Tahmazli O. 2. Xeyrullayev F.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Bagirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Martins R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Martins R. ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Shuaibu A. ⚽,
55', Bouali A. 🟨,
61', Cahangirov U. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Mutsinzi A. ⚽,
68', Shuaibu A. ↓, Akhvlediani T. ↑,
69', Mammadov O. ↓, Tahmazli O. ↑,
69', Seydiyev A. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
69', Ibrahimli I. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
76', Bouali A. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
87', Rustamov E. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 3.

In recent outings, Zira has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Shamakhi is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Shamakhi has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Zira is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zira has recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:12 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zira against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:8 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	9	4	3	2	12:12	0	15
7	Shamakhi	9	3	4	2	13:11	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Shamakhi - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 26.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sabah - Zira	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Zira - İmişli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLWW
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.09.26	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Turan Tovuz - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
07.04.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1
13.12.25	Shamakhi - Zira	2:1
19.09.25	Zira - Shamakhi	2:1
30.03.25	Zira - Shamakhi	3:0
24.01.25	Shamakhi - Zira	1:2
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.24	Zira - Shamakhi	3:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
02.11.24	Shamakhi - Zira	0:2

Zira - Shamakhi