Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Zira		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.1	3.6
	2.05	3.26	3.41	Watch
	2.01	3.18	3.37
	1.95	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.05)	3.19 ↓ (3.26)	3.51 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
45.7%

Draw
28.5%

Shamakhi
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Zira - Shamakhi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 3.

Zira has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Shamakhi is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Shamakhi has had a run of games away from home.

Zira is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zira has recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:12 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zira against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:8 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
6	Shamakhi	6	2	3	1	8:6	2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Shamakhi - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 26.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sabah - Zira	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Zira - İmişli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLWW
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.09.26	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Turan Tovuz - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
07.04.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1
13.12.25	Shamakhi - Zira	2:1
19.09.25	Zira - Shamakhi	2:1
30.03.25	Zira - Shamakhi	3:0
24.01.25	Shamakhi - Zira	1:2
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.24	Zira - Shamakhi	3:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
02.11.24	Shamakhi - Zira	0:2

Zira - Shamakhi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide