Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium (Sumqayit)

Referee: Aliyev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sumgayit		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.95	2.60
	2.50	2.70	2.70	Watch
	2.64	3.00	2.81
	2.68	2.95	2.67	Watch
	2.60	2.90	2.70
	2.57	2.88	2.66	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)	2.91 ↓ (3.09)	2.68 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumgayit
35%

Draw
31.1%

Shamakhi
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sumgayit - Shamakhi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farzullayev K. (G) 17. Ahmadzada N. 7. Ahmadzada R. 42. Badolo C. 9. Jeam 80. Keffel 55. Lucas Black 5. Renan Santana 4. Suliman E. (C) 21. Tiago Almeida 10. Vasquez R.	1. Ricardo Fernandes (C) 10. Adilkhanov E. 13. Apolinario R. 11. Bouali A. 3. Jota 97. Mammadov O. 25. Marques F. 52. Moumini A. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 5. Rustamov E. 19. Shuaibu A.
Substitutes
34. Abbasly U. (G) 12. Agamaliyev M. (G) 11. Bangre M. 27. Barker I. 29. Mustafaev E. 75. Orucov N. 97. Pashayev V.	9. Akhvlediani T. 66. Bagyrzada C. 14. Cahangirov U. 8. Dego D. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Muradly S. 96. Qarazoglu N. (G) 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 88. Shiraliyev H. 7. Suleymanov E. 77. Tahmazli O. 2. Xeyrullayev F.
Coaches
Candido F.	Bagirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Ahmadzada R. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Jeam ⚽,
33', Lucas Black 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shuaibu A. ↓, Akhvlediani T. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Adilkhanov E. ⚽,
63', Lucas Black ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
68', Bouali A. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
68', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
71', Jeam ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
79', Mammadov O. ↓, Dego D. ↑,
80', Vasquez R. ↓, Pashayev V. ↑,
80', Tiago Almeida ↓, Orucov N. ↑,
86', Renan Santana 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 1.

Sumgayit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shamakhi	6	2	3	1	8:6	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
06.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	3:4 ✺
17.05.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.09.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Turan Tovuz - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
17.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
21.05.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
13.03.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	0:1
30.11.25	Shamakhi - Sumgayit	1:2
29.08.25	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1
12.04.25	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:2
09.02.25	Shamakhi - Sumgayit	1:0
24.11.24	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	2:1
14.09.24	Shamakhi - Sumgayit	1:0

Sumgayit - Shamakhi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide