Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.15	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.32	3.53
	2.24	3.37	3.52
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.15	3.38	3.32	Watch
	2.14	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.23)	3.35 ↓ (3.48)	3.32 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
43.6%

Draw
28.1%

Ankaragücü
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.9%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Babacan V. (C) 15. Dubois L. 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 6. Lima L. 10. Ozcan B. 21. Tekdemir M. 23. Turuc D. 8. Aleksic D. 7. Gurler S. 9. Piatek K.	99. Gungordu B. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 5. Hanousek M. 30. Cigerci T. (C) 10. Bekiroglu E. 11. Rodrigues G. 8. Pedrinho 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 22. Sowe A.
Substitutes
19. Abeid M. 27. Ba O. 99. Dennis E. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 4. Ergun O. 25. Figueiredo J. 26. Ilkhan E. 90. Kartsev E. 17. Keny P. P. 88. Sertel C.	9. Bajic R. 4. Cankaya A. R. 29. Cephas R. 45. Cetin M. 1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 23. Guneren A. K. 32. Macheda F. 80. Morutan O. 6. Turkmen C. 3. Uludag A.
Coaches
Atan C.	Belozoglu E.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ankaragücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Başakşehir have a series of guest games.

Başakşehir will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
29.10.23	Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
28.09.23	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWTL
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Ankaragücü - Arguvan	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
29.10.23	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Galatasaray - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
25.05.23	Ankaragücü - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:2
04.05.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Ankaragücü	1:0
Turkish Super League
01.04.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Ankaragücü	1:0
01.10.22	Ankaragücü - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2
03.05.21	İstanbul Başakşehir - Ankaragücü	2:1
10.01.21	Ankaragücü - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2
19.06.20	Ankaragücü - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2

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