Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 10

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Ankaragücü		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.7
	2.5	3.45	2.68	Watch
	2.31	3.55	2.89
	2.62	3.31	2.91
	2.4	3.4	2.75
	2.45	3.42	2.77	Watch
	2.48	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.08)	3.39 ↓ (3.61)	2.78 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
38.2%

Draw
27.8%

Samsunspor
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ankaragücü's form might have worsened.

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ankaragücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Ankaragücü - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gungordu B. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 5. Hanousek M. 30. Cigerci T. 10. Bekiroglu E. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 8. Pedrinho 11. Rodrigues G. 22. Sowe A.	1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 28. Gonul S. 6. Ait Bennasser Y. 13. Tait F. 21. Holse C. 99. Kara E. 11. Kilinc E. 9. Marius
Substitutes
9. Bajic R. 4. Cankaya A. R. 45. Cetin M. 16. Dokanovic A. 1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 23. Guneren A. K. 32. Macheda F. 80. Morutan O. 6. Turkmen C. 3. Uludag A.	8. Aydogdu S. 88. Celik O. 22. Cift Y. E. 14. Dimata L. 7. Fofana M. 23. Gumuskaya M. 10. Ntcham O. 5. Ozturk A. 17. Schindler K. 29. Szumski J. (G)
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Gisdol M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 2.

Recent matches Ankaragücü is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Samsunspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
22.10.23	İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Galatasaray - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Ankaragücü - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Sivasspor - Ankaragücü	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTW
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
22.10.23	Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
29.09.23	Samsunspor - Gaziantep	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Antalyaspor - Samsunspor	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.05.22	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	0:0
12.12.21	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	2:0
20.02.18	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	1:1
24.09.17	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	1:0
14.04.13	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	2:4
24.11.12	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
18.02.12	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	0:3

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