Match Info

Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect
Venezuela	Disney+


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Gaziantep

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.90	4.00	Watch
	1.72	4.00	4.10
	1.61	4.20	4.90	Watch
	1.79	4.18	4.43
	1.62	4.33	4.85	Watch
	1.74	4.10	4.30
	1.70	4.38	4.69	Watch
	1.71	4.00	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	4.14 ↓ (4.19)	4.42 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
55.7%

Draw
22.9%

Gaziantep
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

22.6%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.3%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Gaziantep (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Istanbul Basaksehir (1.68) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 50%). Gaziantep (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 4.

Başakşehir has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gaziantep has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Başakşehir is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Gaziantep: Bavuk F. (Hamstring Injury) Sangare N. (Back Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Başakşehir: Visca E. (Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Başakşehir has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:14 (averaging 2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Başakşehir against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:5 goals (averaging 2.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Basaksehir	7	2	2	3	10:11	-1	8
14	Gaziantep	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Basaksehir: 0.32% Gaziantep: 0.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
11.10.26	Konyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Amed SK - İstanbul Başakşehir	5:0 ✺
04.09.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLT
- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
11.10.26	Gaziantep - Çorum	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Kocaelispor - Gaziantep	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Göztepe - Gaziantep	2:4 ✺
29.08.26	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
16.05.26	Gaziantep - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2
22.12.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep	5:1
20.04.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep	2:1
23.11.24	Gaziantep - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:0
24.02.24	Gaziantep - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2
07.10.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep	2:0
05.01.23	Gaziantep - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1

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