The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
İstanbulspor 42.3%
Draw 26.9%
Ankaragücü 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
28.9%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
28.3%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbulspor's performance.
Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbulspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankaragücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
9.1%
18.2%
İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dogan I. (G) 20. Sahan O. 23. Erdogan O. 4. Tultak F. 13. Coly R. 6. Vorobjovas M. 14. Sonmez K. 7. Sambissa D. 34. Loshaj F. 9. Gultekin E. 19. Diarra G.
25. Ozbir E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 4. Cetin M. 5. Coelho D. 26. Schulz N. 11. Dalcio 22. Rotariu D. 10. Rakoczy M. 23. Guneren A. K. 7. Kitsiou S. 94. Laura G.
Substitutes
3. Aksu D. 11. Aydin D. 2. Bahadir Y. 30. Cham A. 83. Dayakli I. 15. Fidan Y. 99. Laurentino J. 70. Ozcan S. 44. Ozer Y. 28. Tutar A. (G)
19. Astanakulov S. 16. Cokcalis I. 1. Ersu E. (G) 40. Gultekin Y. 30. Kesik M. 35. Nazarli H. 3. Pehlivan I. 70. Tepecik E. 6. Turkmen C. 27. Unyay A.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.
Ozdes K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Diarra G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Kitsiou S. ↓, Gultekin Y. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Gultekin E. ⚽,
74', Diarra G. ↓, Cham A. ↑,
74', Rakoczy M. ↓, Astanakulov S. ↑,
83', Bilazer H. ↓, Cokcalis I. ↑,
84', Sahan O. ↓, Bahadir Y. ↑,
84', Loshaj F. ↓, Aydin D. ↑,
84', Sambissa D. ↓, Ozer Y. ↑,
90+1', Gultekin E. ↓, Aksu D. ↑,
90+2', Bahadir Y. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 1.
Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ankaragücü is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
İstanbulspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Ankaragücü have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).