Match Info

1. Lig - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksuoğlu F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	İstanbulspor		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.53	3.3	2.53
	2.63	3.45	2.65
	2.62	3.22	2.62	Watch
	2.56	3.38	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
36.2%

Draw
27.9%

Bandırmaspor
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.7%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for İstanbulspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	35.7%	42.9%

İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bandırmaspor: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - İstanbulspor (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dogan I. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 4. Tultak F. 6. Vorobjovas M. 24. Uzunhan E. 3. Aksu D. 66. Mamadou M. 10. Loshaj F. 11. Aydin D. 30. Cham A. 9. Gultekin E.	1. Ozcimen A. (G) 77. Berisbek R. 4. Hountondji C. 33. Nukan A. 34. Aydin E. 53. Albayrak M. 17. Ndongala D. 92. Mulumba R. 6. Ciftci H. 7. Bacuna L. 99. Douglas Tanque
Substitutes
23. Cifti F. 83. Dayakli I. 40. Erdal I. A. 32. Mermerci D. 5. Ologo Inainfe M. 20. Sahan O. 70. Sahin C. 31. Sandikci E. 99. Sol M. 28. Tutar A. (G)	30. Acar E. 16. Alkan A. (G) 23. Burgaz G. 8. Cinemre E. 88. Esendemir Y. 10. Gumuskaya M. 5. Kalender T. 94. Samake W. 11. Topalli J.
Coaches
Avci M.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Loshaj F. 🟨,
28', Mulumba R. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Bacuna L. ⚽, Mulumba R. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Uzunhan E. ⚽, Aydin D. (A),
45+5', Ndongala D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tultak F. ↓, Ologo Inainfe M. ↑,
60', Cham A. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
60', Ndongala D. ↓, Samake W. ↑,
66', Mamadou M. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,
77', Vorobjovas M. ↓, Sahan O. ↑,
77', Aksu D. ↓, Sahin C. ↑,
86', Douglas Tanque ↓, Kalender T. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Gumuskaya M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Erdal I. A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Turkmen C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
05.10.25	Igdirspor - İstanbulspor	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	İstanbulspor - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
19.09.25	İstanbulspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	İstanbulspor - Umraniyespor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWW
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
04.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hatayspor - Bandırmaspor	0:3 ✺
24.09.25	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	1:4 ✺
19.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.02.25	Bandırmaspor - İstanbulspor	1:0
22.09.24	İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor	0:0
02.06.22	Bandırmaspor - İstanbulspor	1:2
20.05.22	İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor	0:0
25.12.21	Bandırmaspor - İstanbulspor	0:0
13.02.21	Bandırmaspor - İstanbulspor	2:1
02.10.20	İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor	2:1

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