Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Igdirspor		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.66	3.64	4.6
	1.47	4.55	6.3
	1.56	4.04	5.41	Watch
	1.67	3.78	4.6
	1.65	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)	3.85 ↑ (3.68)	4.89 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
57.1%

Draw
24%

İstanbulspor
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Igdirspor - İstanbulspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Igdirspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bolat S. (G) 61. Asan S. 5. Ozturk A. (C) 86. Bekaroglu B. 77. Vural G. 21. Erdogan D. 6. Guctekin O. K. 20. Mendes R. 58. Kaya G. 7. Fofana M. 55. Koita F.	1. Dogan I. (G) 20. Sahan O. 21. Duhaney D. 84. Yilmaz A. S. 24. Uzunhan E. 30. Cham A. 6. Vorobjovas M. 10. Loshaj F. (C) 11. Aydin D. 31. Sandikci E. 66. Mamadou M.
Substitutes
34. Akcan E. 22. Cavlan C. 19. Conte A. 17. Engin A. 10. Eysseric V. 23. Guneren A. K. 36. Ozcan O. 11. Rotariu D. 27. Suarez A. 54. Tepe T. (G)	33. Ay F. K. 58. Dagasan M. 83. Dayakli I. 32. Mermerci D. 70. Sahin C. 14. Sahin D. 99. Sol M. 8. Temel V. 4. Tultak F. 28. Tutar A. (G)
Coaches
Uzulmez I.	Avci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Guctekin O. K. 🟨,
39', Uzunhan E. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Koita F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sandikci E. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
53', Koita F. 🟨,
56', Yilmaz A. S. 🟨,
58', Koita F. (Pen),
63', Cham A. ↓, Ay F. K. ↑,
66', Mendes R. ↓, Engin A. ↑,
66', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
70', Guctekin O. K. ↓, Guneren A. K. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Loshaj F. ⚽,
77', Duhaney D. 🟨,
81', Erdogan D. ↓, Akcan E. ↑,
81', Kaya G. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
81', Uzunhan E. ↓, Tultak F. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Vural G. (Pen),
90+1', Yilmaz A. S. 🟨,
90+2', Koita F. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).

Igdirspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

İstanbulspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

İstanbulspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Igdirspor is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Igdirspor: Kayatekin A. (Inactive) Ozturk Y. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Igdirspor: Erdogan D. (Injury) Koita F. (Injury)

There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Erdal I. A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Igdirspor - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.3%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
27.09.25	Erokspor - Igdirspor	2:3 ✺
23.09.25	Igdirspor - Hatayspor	4:2 ✺
19.09.25	Umraniyespor - Igdirspor	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Igdirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Manisa FK - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLT
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
28.09.25	İstanbulspor - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
19.09.25	İstanbulspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	İstanbulspor - Umraniyespor	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hatayspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.04.25	Igdirspor - İstanbulspor	3:0
30.11.24	İstanbulspor - Igdirspor	4:0

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