Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 6
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Śląsk Wrocław		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.50
	2.75	3.15	2.42
	3.02	3.45	2.47
	2.94	3.35	2.45	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.4
	2.89	3.3	2.48	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.45)	3.28 ↑ (3.12)	2.45 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
33%

Draw
28.6%

Korona Kielce
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.4%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

28.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Korona will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Korona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Niemczycki K. (G) 21. Timossi A. 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Ba L. 44. Malec M. 8. Llinares M. 77. Shabani E. 17. Linetty K. (C) 20. Tomasiewicz G. 10. Dembele P. M. 11. Marjanac L.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 71. Dlugosz W. 23. Rubezic S. 2. Mosor A. 6. Pieczek M. 35. Jakubczyk K. 8. Remacle M. 18. Hellebrand P. 32. Lingr O. 14. Stepinski M. (C) 19. Ameyaw M.
Substitutes
19. Banaszak P. 3. Christodoulou I. 88. Ciucka A. 4. Dijakovic M. 9. Ieltsin Camoes 27. Jurcec J. 38. Markowski D. 31. Sliczniak H. (G) 2. Szala D. 25. Szromnik M. (G) 15. Yriarte J. 26. Zulewski A.	99. Bak D. 67. Barczak N. 21. Ciszek K. 9. Davidovic S. 22. Fassbender M. 86. Gustafson S. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Matuszewski K. 30. Mena C. 10. Nono 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Stepinski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Markowski D. ↑,
46', Marjanac L. ↓, Ieltsin Camoes ↑,
64', Remacle M. ↓, Mena C. ↑,
64', Ameyaw M. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
69', Shabani E. ↓, Ciucka A. ↑,
69', Llinares M. ↓, Jurcec J. ↑,
77', Lingr O. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
77', Stepinski M. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Dembele P. M. ⚽, Ciucka A. (A),
81', Dembele P. M. ↓, Banaszak P. ↑,
85', Linetty K. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Gustafson S. ⚽, Jakubczyk K. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 0.

In recent matches, Śląsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Korona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Śląsk: Borys K. (Inactive) Mokrzycki M. (Injury)

There will not play in Korona: Blanik D. (Injury) Gustafson S. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Korona Kielce: 1.7% Slask Wroclaw: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12:10	2	15
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	11:15	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Śląsk Wrocław - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.09.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
03.09.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.08.26	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Widzew Łódź	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTTL
- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.09.26	Korona Kielce - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.08.26	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.25	Korona Kielce - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0
18.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce	1:1
09.12.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce	0:0
24.07.23	Korona Kielce - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1
11.02.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce	1:1
01.08.22	Korona Kielce - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1
04.03.20	Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce	2:1

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