Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Germany	Laola1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zagłębie Lubin		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	3.10	Watch
	2.15	3.40	3.20
	2.20	3.15	3.30
	2.25	3.36	3.44
	2.21	3.33	3.4	Watch
	2.19	3.3	3.35
	2.21	3.50	3.18	Watch
	2.19	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.24)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)	3.27 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Lubin
42.9%

Draw
28.3%

Śląsk Wrocław
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Zagłębie Lubin (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Alomerovic Z. (G) 31. Orlikowski I. 25. Nalepa M. 5. Lawniczak A. 13. Grzybek M. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 39. Kocaba F. 16. Corluka J. 44. Regula M. 37. Kerk S. 18. Szymczak F.	1. Niemczycki K. (G) 21. Timossi A. 33. Matsenko Y. 44. Malec M. 3. Christodoulou I. 8. Llinares M. 7. Samiec-Talar P. (C) 15. Yriarte J. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 19. Banaszak P. 10. Dembele P. M.
Substitutes
1. Buric J. (G) 20. Dziewiatowski M. 38. Karasinski S. 26. Kolan J. 9. Kosidis M. 19. Lyczko S. 4. Michalski D. 88. Mlinaric M. 71. Nowogonski K. 7. Sypek J. 17. Szabo L. 94. Urbanski M.	88. Ciucka A. 4. Dijakovic M. 11. Marjanac L. 38. Markowski D. 27. Rosiak M. 31. Sliczniak H. (G) 23. Stangret M. 2. Szala D. 25. Szromnik M. (G) 26. Zulewski A.
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Llinares M. 🟨,
22', Tomasiewicz G. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Samiec-Talar P. ⚽, Dembele P. M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Corluka J. ⚽,
69', Szymczak F. ↓, Szabo L. ↑,
69', Orlikowski I. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
69', Kerk S. ↓, Mlinaric M. ↑,
74', Dembele P. M. ↓, Marjanac L. ↑,
74', Timossi A. ↓, Rosiak M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Szabo L. ⚽, Corluka J. (A),
86', Szabo L. 🟨,
87', Regula M. 🟨,
89', Yriarte J. ↓, Ciucka A. ↑,
89', Regula M. ↓, Kolan J. ↑,
90+5', Banaszak P. ↓, Stangret M. ↑,
90+12', Dabrowski D. ↓, Michalski D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Śląsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Zagłębie Lubin might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Alomerovic Z. (Inactive) Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Yakuba R. (Injury)

There will not play in Śląsk: Ba L. (Red Card) Sokolowski P. (Inactive) Warchol D. (Coach's decision)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zaglebie	11	5	3	3	13:13	0	18
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14:22	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.26	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
27.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Bohemians 1905	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Baník Ostrava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Zlín	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
03.05.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1
04.11.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław	3:0
15.12.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2
29.07.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin	1:2
28.01.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin	0:3
15.07.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław	0:0
27.02.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0

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