Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		ŁKS Łomża

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.70	3.50
	1.41	4.35	5.40
	1.34	5.35	6.13
	1.79	4.17	3.38	Watch
	1.32	5.25	5.50
	1.40	5.20	5.72	Watch
	1.48	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	4.57 ↑ (4)	4.93 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
61.3%

Draw
20.1%

ŁKS Łomża
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

21.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Świt will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Łomża will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Świt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Świt (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Świt (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Kriegler B. (Own goal),
19', 2 - 0, Zbikowski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Tyska J. ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, Rzeszutek F. ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 18th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świt won 2.

In recent outings, Świt has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Łomża has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Świt for this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Świt has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:20 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Świt against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:9 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Swit Mazowiecki	14	8	2	4	28:20	8	26
18	LKS Lomza	14	0	4	10	14:32	-18	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.09.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Weszło	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWT
- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - ŁKS Łomża	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	ŁKS Łomża - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	3:2
25.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:0
01.03.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:3
10.08.24	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1
31.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	4:3
11.11.23	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
31.03.19	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0

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