Match Info

I Liqa - Round 19

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Şəfa		Shahdag Qusar

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	9.2
	1.26	5.16	8.57
	1.42	3.82	7.91	Watch
	1.25	4.6	10
	1.24	5	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	4.67 ↓ (5.2)	9.24 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Şəfa
70.6%

Draw
19.5%

Shahdag Qusar
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.6%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

16.8%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Şəfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shahdag Qusar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Tomarov K. 🟥,
45', 1 - 0, Zamanov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', Chipesse A. 🟥,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Şəfa is the clear favorite.

We predict that Şəfa will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Şəfa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Şəfa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sahdag Qusar	4	4	0	0	13:1	12	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan First Division
11.03.26	Shimal - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Difai Ağsu - Şəfa	1:8 ✺
19.02.26	Şəfa - Mingachevir	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Səbail - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTT
- Shahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan First Division
12.03.26	Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Shahdag Qusar - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Shahdag Qusar - Cəbrayıl	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
05.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	2:1
27.11.25	Shahdag Qusar - Şəfa	0:2

Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide