Match Info

I Liqa - Round 3

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Shimal		Shahdag Qusar

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.6	1.55	Watch
	5.05	3.74	1.58	Watch
	4.7	3.55	1.55
	5.48	3.66	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.44)	3.64 ↓ (3.8)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimal
17.9%

Draw
24.6%

Shahdag Qusar
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.1%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Shahdag Qusar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Shimal - Shahdag Qusar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Ismayilov U. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Mammadov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 1 - 2, Kalbaliyev C. ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, Camalov F. ⚽,
86', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Shahdag may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shahdag is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shimal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sahdag Qusar	4	4	0	0	13:1	12	12
9	Shimal	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
11.09.26	MOIK Baku - Shimal	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Shimal - Cəbrayıl	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Cəbrayıl - Shimal	2:3 ✺
14.05.26	Shimal - Difai Ağsu	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TLWLT
- Shahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan First Division
09.09.26	Shahdag Qusar - Karvan	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Shahdag Qusar - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Səbail - Shahdag Qusar	0:0 ✺
05.05.26	Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
03.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Shimal	0:2 ET
19.02.26	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	0:1
06.11.25	Shahdag Qusar - Shimal	4:2
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	0:2 ET

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