Match Info

I Liqa - Round 14

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)


	Səbail		Şəfa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.88	3.05	2.39	Watch
	2.7	2.88	2.45
	3.19	3.3	2.06
	2.6	3.1	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.17)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	2.3 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Səbail
31.6%

Draw
29.2%

Şəfa
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Şəfa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Səbail - Şəfa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Səbail won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sabail	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
05.02.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:1 ✺
24.12.25	Səbail - Shimal	3:4 ✺
18.12.25	Shahdag Qusar - Səbail	2:2 ✺
11.12.25	Səbail - Difai Ağsu	3:0 ✺
27.11.25	Səbail - Cəbrayıl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWL
- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan First Division
05.02.26	Şəfa - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
25.12.25	MOIK Baku - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Cəbrayıl - Şəfa	0:1 ✺
11.12.25	Şəfa - Zagatala	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.25	Gabala - Şəfa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
23.10.25	Şəfa - Səbail	2:2

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