Match Info

Challenge League - Round 8

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun) 🌤️ ...


	Żurrieq		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.75	2.02	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.12
	2.79	3.84	2.11	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.87	3.48	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.4)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	2.12 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
32.1%

Draw
25.3%

Santa Lucia
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.9%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żurrieq's form might have worsened.

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Żurrieq - Santa Lucia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Lucia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Monney J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Sarraude J. (Penalty Awarded),
79', 3 - 0, Monney J. ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, Kirovski A. (Own goal),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Santa Lucia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santa Lucia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Żurrieq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
22.11.25	Żurrieq - Balzan	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Żurrieq - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	St. Andrews - Żurrieq	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Żurrieq - Melita	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese FA Trophy
06.12.25	Sirens - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
29.11.25	Santa Lucia - Swieqi United	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Mġarr United - Santa Lucia	3:3 ✺
01.11.25	Santa Lucia - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sirens - Santa Lucia	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge Cup
19.04.25	Żurrieq - Santa Lucia	2:0
Maltese Challenge League
15.02.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:6
04.01.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	2:0

Żurrieq - Santa Lucia