Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Żurrieq		Birżebbuġa St. Peters

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.75	1.65
	4.01	3.86	1.67
	1.35	5.52	6.19	Watch
	4	3.5	1.67
	4.27	3.88	1.64
	3.8	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.07)	4.04 ↓ (4.33)	2.41 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
29.7%

Draw
26.3%

Birżebbuġa St. Peters
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

20.9%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.3%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Żurrieq's performance.

Birżebbuġa St. Peters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birżebbuġa St. Peters might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Żurrieq that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birżebbuġa St. Peters could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Żurrieq - Birżebbuġa St. Peters Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Monney J. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Monney J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 3 - 0, Zammit G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent form of Żurrieq has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Birżebbuġa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Birżebbuġa is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
18.01.26	Swieqi United - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Żurrieq - Fgura United	1:4 ✺
17.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Żurrieq	1:4 ✺
13.12.25	Gudja United - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- Birżebbuġa St. Peters
Maltese Challenge League
17.01.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Melita - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
25.10.25	Żurrieq - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:3

Upcoming Matches