Match Info

Challenge League - Round 7

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Santa Lucia		Swieqi United

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.65	2.18	Watch
	2.95	3.85	1.97
	3.46	3.61	1.90	Watch
	3.85	3.9	1.77
	2.5	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.5)	3.67 ↑ (3.35)	2.06 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
30%

Draw
25.2%

Swieqi United
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Lucia's form might have worsened.

Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swieqi United's recent form is better than expected.

Santa Lucia - Swieqi United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swieqi United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Asante E. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Asante E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Asante E. ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, Vella M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Swieqi United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
23.11.25	Mġarr United - Santa Lucia	3:3 ✺
01.11.25	Santa Lucia - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sirens - Santa Lucia	3:5 ✺
28.09.25	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Fgura United - Santa Lucia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWTL
- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
23.11.25	Swieqi United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Balzan - Swieqi United	4:0 ✺
25.10.25	Swieqi United - Vittoriosa Stars	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Swieqi United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Swieqi United - St. Andrews	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
13.04.25	Swieqi United - Santa Lucia	2:2
14.04.19	Santa Lucia - Swieqi United	3:1
15.12.18	Swieqi United - Santa Lucia	2:2

Santa Lucia - Swieqi United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide