Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manouhos E. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport
Slovenia	20:30	Arena Sport


	Željezničar Sarajevo		Dinamo Minsk

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.5	3.05	3
	2.5	3.08	3.01
	2.48	3.18	2.92	Watch
	2.5	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.7)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	2.92 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Željezničar Sarajevo
38%

Draw
30.2%

Dinamo Minsk
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Željezničar Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Minsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Minsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	53.3%	13.3%

Željezničar Sarajevo - Dinamo Minsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Željezničar will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mulalic A. (G) 24. Galic M. 5. Kosoric A. (C) 6. Cocalic E. 25. Jasarevic I. 8. Mekic N. 14. Stilic S. 44. Rustemovic E. 26. Amoah J. 7. Krpic S. 17. Drljo A.	21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 67. Begunov R. 3. Shvetsov M. 20. Sachivko A. (C) 30. Orinho 77. Rylach A. 44. Selyava A. 7. Bykov A. 18. Morozov V. 9. Bakic D. 13. Bakhar I.
Substitutes
23. Beca O. 18. Biber E. 19. Drina A. 30. Dubackic D. 11. Gasal H. 9. Haracic D. 13. Muftic V. (G) 3. Music A. 77. Ovcina H.	8. Demchenko N. 2. Kholodov Z. 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 1. Makavchik A. (G) 11. Nikiforenko O. 6. Politevich S. 17. Sedko P. 31. Shpakovski D. (G) 15. Svirepa A. 24. Vakulich A.
Coaches
Basic N.	Skripchenko V.

Preview

1st leg.

Željezničar in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dinamo Minsk is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Željezničar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Željezničar have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Željezničar Sarajevo
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sutjeska	Canceled ✺
24.06.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Arsenal Tivat	2:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
28.05.23	Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WT?WW
- FC Dinamo Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.07.23	Torpedo-BelAZ - Dinamo Minsk	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Dinamo Minsk - Belshina	7:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
28.06.23	Zhodino Yuzhnoe - Dinamo Minsk	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.06.23	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	3:1 ✺
09.06.23	Dinamo Minsk - Dinamo Brest	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
31.10.26	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zrinjski Mostar	✺
- FC Dinamo Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.11.26	Dinamo Minsk - Neman Grodno	✺
28.10.26	Belshina - Dinamo Minsk	✺

Željezničar Sarajevo - Dinamo Minsk