Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 16

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Dinamo Minsk

	1	X	2
	9.78	5	1.33
	9.76	4.69	1.33	Watch
	8.8	5.8	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.45 ↑ (8.9)	5.16 ↓ (5.85)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
10%

Draw
18.3%

Dinamo Minsk
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

16.2%

73.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

16%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Smorgon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Minsk: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Vasilyuchek V. (G) 3. Intsoen C. (C) 15. Babich E. 20. Tonkevich V. 7. Levkovets A. 25. Bamba L. 9. Chebotar V. 27. Tishko A. 2. Bamba M. 78. Yablonskiy M. 33. Fazylov A.	22. Konovalov I. (G) 11. Djimet M. 19. Podstrelov D. 24. Vakulich A. 17. Bakhar I. 6. Myakish M. 18. Grechikho D. 42. Abdullahi F. 26. Kalinin V. 67. Begunov R. (C) 33. Ibrahim F.
Substitutes
18. Aliyu H. S. 19. Azarko M. (G) 77. Bogdanovich I. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 17. Dukso M. 63. Kukhlejj R. 21. Yezhov R.	8. Chobanov R. 49. Denisyuk A. 4. Gavrilovich A. 7. Malashevich E. 25. Pedro Igor 21. Shevchenko E. 13. Shimakovich I. (G) 99. Tsepenkov K. 10. Vardanyan K. 9. Vitinho
Coaches
Dorokhovich S.	Pavlov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Ibrahim F. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Babich E. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
30', Djimet M. 🟨,
34', Babich E. ↓, Aliyu H. S. ↑,
40', Fazylov A. ↓, Bogdanovich I. ↑,
42', Bamba M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Djimet M. ⚽, Myakish M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Bakhar I. ↓, Malashevich E. ↑,
64', Grechikho D. ↓, Vardanyan K. ↑,
74', Djimet M. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
75', Levkovets A. ↓, Dukso M. ↑,
76', Bamba L. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
76', Chebotar V. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
85', Ibrahim F. ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Abdullahi F. ⚽, Vakulich A. (A),
90+5', Konovalov I. 🟨,
90+5', Intsoen C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2.

In recent matches, Smorgon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dinamo Minsk is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dinamo Minsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dinamo Minsk is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:21. (average 0.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Smorgon - Naftan	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Smorgon - ML Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Smorgon - Dinamo Brest	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Smorgon - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 53.9 WTLWT
- FC Dinamo Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.25	Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Minsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	BATE Borisov - Dinamo Minsk	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Dinamo Minsk - Slavia Mozyr	3:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
19.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
16.03.25	Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon	1:0
02.12.24	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	1:0
16.03.24	Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon	5:0
11.11.23	Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon	7:0
25.06.23	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	3:1
26.09.21	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	0:5
14.05.21	Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon	2:0

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