Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 29 November 2022, Tuesday


	Željezničar Sarajevo		Konyaspor

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2
	3.35	3.2	2
	2.9	3.4	2.07
	3.35	3.45	2.01
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.32	3.45	1.99	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.41)	3.34 ↑ (3.02)	2.04 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Željezničar Sarajevo
28.4%

Draw
27.1%

Konyaspor
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Željezničar Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Željezničar Sarajevo's form might have worsened.

Konyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Konyaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Željezničar Sarajevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Konyaspor than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Konyaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Željezničar Sarajevo - Konyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Željezničar will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Konyaspor will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Konyaspor: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Željezničar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Konyaspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Željezničar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
19.11.22	Željezničar Sarajevo - Posušje	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Željezničar Sarajevo - Borac Banja Luka	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Tuzla City - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Željezničar Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	2:0 ✺
Bosnian Cup
19.10.22	Budućnost Banovići - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWWW
- Konyaspor
Turkish Super League
13.11.22	Kayserispor - Konyaspor	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Trabzonspor - Konyaspor	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Adana Demirspor - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Konyaspor - Gaziantep	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTTL

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