Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Conde de Sucena (Sintra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		Caldas

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.88	3
	2.36	2.93	3.07
	2.47	2.79	3.19	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.33	2.88	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	2.86 ↓ (2.99)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
38.4%

Draw
31.9%

Caldas
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

31.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

1 Dezembro - Caldas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte F. (G) 77. Andrade Male S. A. 22. Dias G. 24. Edu 81. Ferreira D. 27. Fuhrer P. 44. Gomes C. (C) 85. Infante A. 2. Ramos P. 42. Tavares L. 8. Vito	12. Almeida D. (G) 50. Clemente D. 25. Farinha L. 79. Gata J. 77. Lopes D. 14. Maneta D. 30. Monteiro E. 4. Pipo 2. Silva R. 33. Tarzan 91. Vieira J.
Substitutes
88. Abreu M. 55. Afonso A. 50. Alecsandru P. 13. Bernardo J. 9. Ferreira C. 7. Ferreira D. 20. Harramiz S. 23. Menezes L. 47. Oliveira J. (G)	66. Carreira R. 23. Catarino T. 9. Chaves G. 17. Goncas 19. Isaac Djei B. A. 10. Januario 94. Oliveira F. 3. Pires Gomes J. R. 1. Soares W. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Vieira J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Fuhrer P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Farinha L. ↓, Januario ↑,
46', Maneta D. ↓, Pires Gomes J. R. ↑,
46', Tavares L. ↓, Harramiz S. ↑,
63', Fuhrer P. ↓, Abreu M. ↑,
70', Silva R. ↓, Oliveira F. ↑,
70', Vieira J. ↓, Chaves G. ↑,
80', Gata J. ↓, Goncas ↑,
83', Dias G. ↓, Bernardo J. ↑,
83', Ferreira D. ↓, Menezes L. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Menezes L. ⚽,
88', Infante A. ↓, Afonso A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1 Dezembro won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, 1 Dezembro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, 1 Dezembro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Caldas - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.04%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
25.04.26	Atlético CP - 1 Dezembro	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	1 Dezembro - Amora	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	1 Dezembro - Covilhã	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Amora - 1 Dezembro	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLLW
- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
25.04.26	Caldas - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Atlético CP - Caldas	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Amora - Caldas	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.26	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	2:1
14.12.25	1 Dezembro - Caldas	2:0
14.09.25	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	2:2
25.01.25	1 Dezembro - Caldas	1:1
27.10.24	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	1:1
04.05.24	1 Dezembro - Caldas	0:1
18.02.24	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	2:1

1 Dezembro - Caldas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide