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Current Win Probability
Amora 35.7%
Draw 32%
Caldas 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
32.5%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
33.4%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Amora - Caldas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
95. Diego (G) 8. Antunes M. 19. Barros G. 28. Cruz H. 25. Duque T. 13. Lopes M. 7. Lopes M. 22. Marques J. 77. Pala F. 71. Semedo D. 16. Teixeira P.
1. Soares W. (G) 8. Clemente D. 77. Lopes D. 14. Maneta D. 30. Monteiro E. 94. Oliveira F. 6. Palmerio M. 4. Pipo 3. Pires Gomes J. R. 33. Tarzan 91. Vieira J.
Substitutes
31. Azevedo D. (G) 11. Buby 27. Camara B. 49. Costinha 17. Furtado E. 4. Marlom Oliveira 23. Marques F. 21. Traore B. 37. Wendel
12. Almeida D. (G) 66. Carreira R. 23. Catarino T. 9. Chaves G. 25. Farinha L. 21. Fernandes D. 79. Gata J. 10. Januario 2. Silva R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Palmerio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Vieira J. ↓, Chaves G. ↑,
46', Palmerio M. ↓, Januario ↑,
52', Monteiro E. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Semedo D. ⚽,
63', Lopes D. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
64', Pires Gomes J. R. ↓, Gata J. ↑,
67', Lopes M. ↓, Furtado E. ↑,
68', Barros G. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Chaves G. ⚽, Clemente D. (A),
71', Barros G. ↓, Marques F. ↑,
71', Teixeira P. ↓, Costinha ↑,
84', Chaves G. 🟨,
85', Clemente D. ↓, Carreira R. ↑,
88', Maneta D. 🟨,
88', Pala F. ↓, Wendel ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Chaves G. ⚽, Fernandes D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amora won 2.
Amora is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Caldas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Amora won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Amora won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).