Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Bartnitzki D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 1, Sportklub
Slovenia	Sportklub
World	Onefootball


	1860 München		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.3
	2	3.7	3.25
	2.08	3.6	3.2
	2.04	3.78	3.46
	2.03	3.66	3.34	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.02	3.64	3.34	Watch
	2.08	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.14)	3.62 ↑ (3.44)	3.29 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
45.8%

Draw
25.8%

Borussia Dortmund II
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

1860 München - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 1860 München will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hiller M. (G) 2. Danhof T. 4. Verlaat J. (C) 25. Dulic S. 3. Lucoqui A. 36. Deniz T. 26. Maier P. 14. Kozuki S. 30. Wolfram M. 9. Abiama D. 34. Hobsch P.	31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 17. Gobel P. 34. Luhrs Y. 27. Lelle D. 2. Mogultay B. 14. Eberwein M. 6. Azhil A. (C) 8. Roggow F. 26. Drakas B. 23. Paulina J. 5. Foti A.
Substitutes
7. Guttau J. 5. Jacobsen T. 18. Kloss T. 27. Ott R. 8. Philipp D. 20. Reich L. 16. Reinthaler M. 10. Schubert F. 11. Vollath R. (G)	39. Aning P. 7. Besong P. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 33. Estevao T. (G) 15. Huning B. 43. Krevsun D. 36. Reitz T.
Coaches
Glockner P.	Zimmermann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Danhof T. ⚽,
32', Eberwein M. 🟨,
45', Vollath R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Lucoqui A. 🟨,
60', Abiama D. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
61', Mogultay B. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
72', Roggow F. 🟨,
74', Foti A. ↓, Krevsun D. ↑,
74', Eberwein M. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
74', Maier P. ↓, Kloss T. ↑,
75', Hobsch P. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
82', Kozuki S. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
82', Wolfram M. ↓, Jacobsen T. ↑,
83', Azhil A. ↓, Reitz T. ↑,
83', Drakas B. ↓, Aning P. ↑,
90+6', Paulina J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches 1860 München won 1.

Recent matches 1860 München is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia Dortmund II is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

1860 München will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches 1860 München won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.9:2).

Including matches at home between the teams 1860 München won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 2.7:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund II - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
01.03.25	Hannover II - 1860 München	1:3 ✺
21.02.25	1860 München - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	5:2 ✺
08.02.25	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLTW
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
01.03.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Osnabrück - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Hansa Rostock	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
28.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	1:2
04.05.24	1860 München - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2
03.12.23	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	3:0
26.03.23	1860 München - Borussia Dortmund II	1:4
01.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	1:1
14.05.22	1860 München - Borussia Dortmund II	6:3
11.12.21	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	0:2

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