Match Info

3. Liga - Round 37

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Rupert Y. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
World	Onefootball


	1860 München		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.7
	2.28	3.7	2.68	Watch
	2.33	4	2.78
	2.28	3.89	2.68	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.63
	2.22	3.62	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	2.68 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
40.9%

Draw
24.7%

Ingolstadt
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

25.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

1860 München - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. 1860 München will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for 1860 München: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dahne T. (G) 25. Dulic S. 35. Kiefersauer X. 3. Voet S. 2. Danhof T. 9. Steinkotter J. 20. Althaus S. 30. Wolfram M. 27. Pfeifer M. 22. Haugen S. 7. Niederlechner F. (C)	47. Klein D. (G) 2. Hoppe M. 6. Antzoulas G. 32. Lorenz S. (C) 15. Scholz J. 14. Plath M. 17. Besuschkow M. 5. Gul E. 8. Carlsen F. 7. Sturm Y. 22. Costly M.
Substitutes
40. Bachmann P. (G) 13. Christiansen M. 33. Fassmann L. 34. Hobsch P. 44. Husic L. 18. Jakob K. 29. Rittmuller M. 37. Schifferl R. 17. Schroter M.	49. Bagaric T. 30. Drakulic O. 25. Eisele K. (G) 34. Frode L. 44. Kehrer E. 29. Kugel J. 48. Lakatos N. 23. Maljojoki J. 39. Ozturk B.
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Althaus S. ⚽, Haugen S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Costly M. ⚽, Hoppe M. (A),
63', Althaus S. ↓, Husic L. ↑,
63', Niederlechner F. ↓, Schroter M. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Besuschkow M. ⚽, Costly M. (A),
71', Wolfram M. ↓, Rittmuller M. ↑,
71', Steinkotter J. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
76', Dulic S. 🟨,
81', Voet S. 🟨,
82', Dulic S. ↓, Schifferl R. ↑,
90+2', Carlsen F. ↓, Frode L. ↑,
90+2', Costly M. ↓, Kugel J. ↑,
90+5', Sturm Y. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 3.

1860 München has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ingolstadt's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, 1860 München won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ingolstadt - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Schweinfurt - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	1860 München - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Saarbrücken - 1860 München	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	1860 München - Jahn Regensburg	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Energie Cottbus - 1860 München	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTTL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	3:5 ✺
25.04.26	Hoffenheim II - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Ingolstadt - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
08.04.26	Ingolstadt - Viktoria Köln	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2
08.02.25	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:1
31.08.24	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2
11.02.24	1860 München - Ingolstadt	3:1
16.09.23	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	2:1
03.04.23	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:3
08.10.22	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:2

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