Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)


	9 de Julio		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.06	5.11
	1.70	3.39	5.39	Watch
	1.66	3.3	5.18
	1.58	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.58)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	5.3 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
55.1%

Draw
27.6%

Deportivo Rincón
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Deportivo Rincón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (-1%)

9 de Julio - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fragueda F. (G)
9. Abondetto R.
3. Acuna S.
6. Almada J.
2. Centurion F.
8. Del Sole N.
11. Ibanez M.
7. Macies T.
4. Martinez M.
10. Peralta B.
5. Salcedo A.
Substitutes
15. Aversa T.
20. Bonilla T.
13. Bravo N.
16. Ensabella G.
18. Garcia F.
12. Gomez J. (G)
14. Molinari A.
19. Ocampo L.
17. Zabala L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Avila C. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Ibanez M. ⚽,
32', Salcedo A. 🟨,
33', Villalba R. 🟨,
44', Chacon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', Carrasco D. 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, 9 de Julio is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.25	9 de Julio - Germinal	5:0 ✺
05.10.25	Germinal - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLT
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.25	Deportivo Rincón - Sportivo Las Parejas	5:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

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