Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 10

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	9 de Julio		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	3.65
	2.04	2.7	3.79
	2.18	2.74	4.06	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	1.99	3	3.77
	2.06	3	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
43.9%

Draw
31.7%

Sportivo Belgrano
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zanoni M. (G) 3. Acuna S. 2. Androetto T. 4. Bravo N. 8. Del Sole N. 11. Larrea L. 5. Ramirez P. 10. Solari M. 9. Troncoso L. 6. Uriona M. 7. Varela S.	1. Martina L. (G) 11. Bono J. 5. Caviglia J. 8. Churchi S. 6. Ferrero G. 4. Ferreyra L. 7. Lehmann A. 9. Lesman G. 2. Paiz J. 3. Pennesi T. 10. Sagristani M.
Substitutes
12. Cuevas L. 16. Ensabella G. 18. Garcia F. 17. Luduena C. 13. Motta G. 19. Salvucci J. 15. Sequeria 20. Sordi R. 14. Vanega A.	14. Alessi L. 20. Arostegui J. I. 19. Bassani J. 12. Bravo P. (G) 13. Carballo J. M. 15. Franceschi E. 16. Gimenez J. 18. Mercado E. 17. Tarifa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Bravo N. 🟥,
38', 0 - 1, Lesman G. ⚽,
43', Ferrero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', Pennesi T. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Bono J. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

9 de Julio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Julio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

9 de Julio - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	El Linqueño - 9 de Julio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWLW
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Belgrano	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.03.26	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	3:0
01.09.25	9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0
07.06.25	9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano	3:1
07.04.25	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:0
25.08.24	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:0
26.05.24	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:1
31.03.24	9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0

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