Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)


	Atlético de Rafaela		9 de Julio

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	6.5
	1.62	3.2	5.3	Watch
	1.66	3.15	5.32
	1.01	16.73	25.00	Watch
	1.7	3.26	5.78
	1.47	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)	5.72 ↑ (3.95)	9.02 ↑ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
70.3%

Draw
18.2%

9 de Julio
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

22.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.

9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 4. Fuyana J. 7. Leineker C. 11. Pastorelli A. 5. Soloa F. 6. Utrera N. 3. Wuattier E. R.	1. Fragueda F. (G) 9. Abondetto R. 6. Androetto T. 11. Bonilla T. 3. Bravo N. 10. Bustos J. 2. Centurion F. 8. Del Sole N. 7. Macies T. 5. Maldonado F. 4. Martinez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ⚽,
20', 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Pastorelli A. ⚽,
33', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 🟥,
80', 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Atlético Rafaela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

9 de Julio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

9 de Julio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Douglas Haig - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWT
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.25	9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - 9 de Julio	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	9 de Julio - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTTW

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