The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
9 de Julio 55.5%
Draw 26.8%
El Linqueño 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.3%
23.7%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
21%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 9 de Julio's form might have worsened.
El Linqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
9 de Julio - El Linqueño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cuevas L. (G) 3. Acuna S. 2. Androetto T. 4. Bravo N. 8. Del Sole N. 11. Larrea L. 5. Ramirez P. 10. Solari M. 9. Troncoso L. 6. Uriona M. 7. Varela S.
1. Cuesta J. (G) 8. Colombi B. 4. Ferraro F. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 6. Malinauskas J. 11. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 7. Pavon M. 9. Quijada J. 3. Veinticinco J.
Substitutes
20. Bonilla T. 16. Ensabella G. 18. Garcia F. 17. Luduena C. 13. Motta G. 15. Ostertag I. 14. Rossa M. 19. Salvucci J. 12. Zanoni M. (G)
. Alsina T. 12. Atencio J. (G) . Cardenas I. . Cordoba N. . Coria J. . Joannaz G. . Luques J. . Macias L. . Ramos M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Troncoso L. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Troncoso L. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Mc Cormick A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 1, Troncoso L. ⚽,
61', Colombi B. ↓, Cordoba N. ↑,
61', Ferraro F. ↓, Coria J. ↑,
66', Troncoso L. ↓, Luduena C. ↑,
66', Solari M. ↓, Salvucci J. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Meli F. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Garcia Pereyra J. 🟨,
81', Del Sole N. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
90+3', Varela S. ↓, Ostertag I. ↑,
90+3', Larrea L. ↓, Ensabella G. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
In recent matches, 9 de Julio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
El Linqueño is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, 9 de Julio is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Julio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).