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Current Win Probability
Independiente Chivilcoy 39.1%
Draw 31.4%
9 de Julio 29.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.7%
28.6%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
28.5%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.
9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 9 de Julio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 9 de Julio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zanoni M. (G)
4. Acuna S.
2. Androetto T.
8. Del Sole N.
11. Larrea L.
5. Ramirez P.
10. Solari M.
9. Troncoso L.
6. Uriona M.
3. Vanega A.
7. Varela S.
Substitutes
20. Bonilla T.
12. Cuevas L. (G)
16. Ensabella G.
18. Garcia F.
17. Luduena C.
13. Motta G.
15. Ostertag I.
14. Rossa M.
19. Salvucci J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Solari M. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Del Sole N. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 2, Benitez B. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 2.
Ind Chivilcoy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
9 de Julio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ind Chivilcoy might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Argentina
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Zanoni M. (G) 
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