Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao) (Natal)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
ABC |
|
Sousa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.46 |
3.9 |
5.75 |
|
 |
1.5 |
3.65 |
5.9 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.8 |
6.58 |
|
 |
1.5 |
3.68 |
6.75 |
|
 |
1.44 |
3.5 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.45 |
3.74 |
6.84 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.5) |
3.71 ↑
(3.61) |
6.39 ↑
(6.31) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
ABC
61.5% | Draw
24.4% | Sousa
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ABC - Sousa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Rikelmi ⚽,
- 60', 🟥,
- 73', 2 - 0, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
Preview
ABC has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Sousa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).ABC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, ABC is the clear favorite.We predict that ABC will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ABC won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, ABC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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