Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 26 July 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao) (Natal)
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 |
|
 |
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ABC |
|
Luverdense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.43 |
3.75 |
6.75 |
|
 |
1.41 |
3.55 |
8.00 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.75 |
7.64 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.58 |
7.33 |
 Watch |
 |
1.44 |
3.60 |
7.55 |
|
 |
1.43 |
3.54 |
8.30 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4 |
9.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.72) |
3.68 ↑
(3.3) |
7.87 ↑
(4.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
ABC
63.7% | Draw
24.7% | Luverdense
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABC's performance.Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luverdense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luverdense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.ABC - Luverdense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Igor Bahia ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Wallyson ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 1, Douglas ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 74', 3 - 1, Brunao ⚽,
- 77', 4 - 1, Brunao ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ABC won 0.ABC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Luverdense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, ABC is the undeniable favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ABC won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, ABC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 18.07.26 | Luverdense - ABC | 0:0 | | Brazilian Serie B | | | 03.11.17 | ABC - Luverdense | 0:1 | | 15.07.17 | Luverdense - ABC | 1:0 | | 01.09.15 | Luverdense - ABC | 1:1 | | 23.05.15 | ABC - Luverdense | 1:1 | | 18.10.14 | ABC - Luverdense | 0:1 | | 15.07.14 | Luverdense - ABC | 3:1 |
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