Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira (Marabá)


	Águia de Marabá		ABC

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.85	2.35
	2.80	2.85	2.45
	3.10	2.83	2.48
	2.98	2.9	2.46	Watch
	3.05	2.70	2.45
	3.04	2.77	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.15)	2.82 ↓ (3)	2.44 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águia de Marabá
30.5%

Draw
32.2%

ABC
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29.5%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Águia de Marabá - ABC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Diogo Carlos (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Carlos Maia ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Igor Bahia ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Águia de Marabá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ABC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.26	Águia de Marabá - Parnahyba	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Parnahyba - Águia de Marabá	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Trem - Águia de Marabá	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Águia de Marabá - Tocantinópolis	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Águia de Marabá	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.26	ABC - Altos	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Altos - ABC	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	ABC - Maguary	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Laguna - ABC	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.05.26	ABC - Vitória Salvador	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWWL

Águia de Marabá - ABC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide