Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 12 July 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao) (Natal)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
ABC |
|
Águia de Marabá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.35 |
4.33 |
7.00 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.60 |
6.50 |
|
 |
1.35 |
4.37 |
8.17 |
|
 |
1.38 |
4.23 |
7.87 |
 Watch |
 |
1.34 |
4.30 |
8.00 |
|
 |
1.34 |
4.20 |
8.50 |
|
 |
1.5 |
3.5 |
5.67 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.55) |
4.08 ↑
(3.51) |
7.39 ↑
(5.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
ABC
65.4% | Draw
22.3% | Águia de Marabá
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABC's performance.Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ABC - Águia de Marabá Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ABC (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - ABC (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ABC (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Wendell (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 83', 2 - 0, Jhosefer ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Wellington Reis ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.ABC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Águia de Marabá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).ABC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, ABC is the undeniable favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, ABC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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