Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Mezzolara		Corticella

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.18	3.09	2.13
	3.18	3.09	2.14
	3.23	3.18	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.16)	3.12 ↑ (3.07)	2.13 (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mezzolara
28.5%

Draw
29%

Corticella
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

29.3%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

29%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mezzolara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Corticella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Dominici L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Alessandrini S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 1.

Mezzolara has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Corticella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Corticella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mezzolara won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.03.24	Victor San Marino - Mezzolara	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Mezzolara - SantAngelo	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Lentigione - Mezzolara	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Mezzolara - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- US Corticella
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.03.24	Corticella - Sammaurese	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	AC Carpi - Corticella	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Corticella - Aglianese	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Victor San Marino - Corticella	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Corticella - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
05.11.23	Corticella - Mezzolara	2:1
29.01.23	Mezzolara - Corticella	2:2
27.09.22	Corticella - Mezzolara	1:2
19.06.21	Mezzolara - Corticella	1:1
07.04.21	Corticella - Mezzolara	4:2

Mezzolara - Corticella: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide