Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 20

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Cosmos		San Giovanni

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.05
	1.81	3.33	3.94
	1.74	3.76	4.04	Watch
	1.7	3.4	3.9
	1.77	3.64	4.37
	1.75	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.5)	3.52 ↓ (3.83)	4.02 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cosmos
51.7%

Draw
25.7%

San Giovanni
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

23%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cosmos's form might have worsened.

San Giovanni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Giovanni's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cosmos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Giovanni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cosmos - San Giovanni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, Di Maio R. ⚽, Gjurchinoski B. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cosmos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cosmos is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:7. (average 2.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cosmos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	9:4	5	7
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Cosmos
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
31.01.26	Cosmos - Virtus	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Tre Fiori - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Domagnano - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Cosmos - Juvenes-Dogana	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Cosmos - La Fiorita	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWLL
- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.02.26	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	San Giovanni - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
18.01.26	Juvenes-Dogana - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Domagnano - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
03.10.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:2
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.05.25	Cosmos - San Giovanni	4:2
15.03.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	2:0
30.04.24	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3
27.04.24	Cosmos - San Giovanni	1:2
28.01.24	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3

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