Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	ACR Messina		Bari

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2	Watch
	3.4	3.15	2
	3.1	3.05	2.16
	3.63	2.74	2.28
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.06	3.22	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.48)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
27.3%

Draw
29.7%

Bari
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.6%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACR Messina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ACR Messina - Bari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

ACR Messina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bari is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bari will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
26.09.21	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.09.21	Foggia - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.21	Monopoli - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
04.09.21	ACR Messina - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLT
- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
26.09.21	Bari - Paganese	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Catania - Bari	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Picerno - Bari	0:1 ✺
05.09.21	Bari - Nuova Monterosi	4:0 ✺
30.08.21	Potenza - Bari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
06.01.19	Bari - ACR Messina	2:0
16.09.18	ACR Messina - Bari	0:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.26	Bari - Scafatese	✺

ACR Messina - Bari