The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Picerno 59.2%
Draw 25.6%
ACR Messina 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
27.5%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
27%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Picerno's performance.
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Picerno that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Picerno - ACR Messina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 2. Pagliai G. 6. Allegretto A. 13. Gilli M. 25. Guerra W. 8. Franco D. 30. De Ciancio R. 37. Vitali P. 99. Cardoni K. 77. Graziani V. 16. Santarcangelo A.
1. Curtosi F. (G) 98. Rizzo F. 6. Manetta M. (C) 4. Garofalo V. 7. Lia D. 28. Pedicillo L. 31. Anzelmo D. 8. Frisenna G. 24. Ortisi P. 18. Luciani P. 9. Anatriello G.
Substitutes
17. Cecere S. 7. Energe A. 11. Esposito E. 10. Maiorino P. 19. Petito F. 5. Pitarresi F. 14. Ragone V. 15. Santi P. 4. Seck P. M. 22. Summa E. (G) 21. Volpicelli E.
25. Adragna G. 19. Cominetti M. 29. Di Palma M. 12. Krapikas T. (G) 5. Mame Ass N. 10. Mamona B. 15. Marino A. 20. Morleo U. 16. Petrucci D. 11. Petrungaro L. 17. Re A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Vitali P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Santarcangelo A. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
57', Graziani V. ↓, Petito F. ↑,
58', Garofalo V. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
69', Anzelmo D. ↓, Petrucci D. ↑,
69', Luciani P. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
69', Vitali P. ↓, Esposito E. ↑,
73', Gilli M. ↓, Seck P. M. ↑,
73', Petrucci D. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Cardoni K. ⚽,
79', Esposito E. 🟨,
83', Frisenna G. ↓, Di Palma M. ↑,
83', Pedicillo L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Petito F. ⚽,
86', Petito F. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Picerno won 1.
Picerno is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches ACR Messina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Picerno is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Picerno won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Picerno won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Italy
World
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Merelli D. (G) 
De Ciancio R. 
Krapikas T. (G) 
Mame Ass N. 
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