The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Potenza 41.1%
Draw 28.6%
Bari 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40%
27.9%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
26.8%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Potenza - Bari Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Franchi D. (G) 2. Verza N. 25. Staver C. 35. Giannini D. 98. Adjapong C. 14. Franzolini A. 23. De Marco A. 21. Manfredonia M. 80. Matheu P. 9. Murano J. 7. Bruschi N.
48. Nicolas Andrade (G) 33. Celli A. 3. Mantovani V. 72. Cocetta N. 27. Burgio R. 44. Mendicino L. 95. Prisco V. 32. Colangiuli V. 24. Bianchi F. 9. Gomez G. 77. Esposito M.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 47. Bura R. 8. Castorani M. 17. Cucchietti T. (G) 10. D'Auria G. 77. Ghisolfi M. 12. Gironi C. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 6. Loiacono G. 11. Mazzeo L. 89. Paolino M. 30. Petrungaro L. 3. Russo L. 70. Selleri G.
14. Anzolin M. 7. Butic K. 15. Campagna A. 21. Della Morte M. 79. Elia M. 25. Maggiore G. 19. Mane M. 12. Mezzapesa A. (G) 1. Pissardo M. (G) 11. Tribuzzi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Franzolini A. ⚽,
27', Murano J. 🟨,
30', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, De Marco A. ⚽,
37', Prisco V. 🟨,
42', Esposito M. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Franchi D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mantovani V. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
55', Esposito M. ↓, Butic K. ↑,
55', Burgio R. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
65', Manfredonia M. ↓, Bando A. ↑,
67', Gomez G. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
73', Bruschi N. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
73', Matheu P. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
74', Cocetta N. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
77', Staver C. 🟨,
80', Verza N. ↓, Kirwan N. ↑,
80', Franzolini A. ↓, Castorani M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 1.
Potenza is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Bari have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Potenza has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:9 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Potenza against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:5 goals (averaging 1:2.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Potenza - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Bari - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.06%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.