Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)


	ACR Messina		Sancataldese

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.05	3.75
	1.87	3.26	3.98
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.92	3.18	3.76
	1.81	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.27)	3.12 ↓ (3.38)	3.9 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
47.9%

Draw
29%

Sancataldese
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

26.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ACR Messina's performance.

Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sancataldese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACR Messina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sancataldese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ACR Messina - Sancataldese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Clemente C. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Barile A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

ACR Messina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ACR Messina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, ACR Messina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Athletic Palermo - ACR Messina	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Milazzo - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	ACR Messina - Vigor Lamezia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ragusa - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWT
- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Sancataldese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Sancataldese - Savoia	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
28.04.19	ACR Messina - Sancataldese	1:2
16.12.18	Sancataldese - ACR Messina	1:0
03.12.17	ACR Messina - Sancataldese	1:2

ACR Messina - Sancataldese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide