Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Vigor Lamezia		Sancataldese

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.98	3.1
	2.29	3.23	2.78
	2.09	3.18	3.33	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.22	3.02	3.12
	2.4	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.34)	3.05 ↓ (3.39)	3.03 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Lamezia
40.4%

Draw
29.7%

Sancataldese
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Lamezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Vigor Lamezia - Sancataldese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Romano V. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Marigosu F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 11).

Vigor Lamezia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sancataldese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.12.25	ACR Messina - Vigor Lamezia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Savoia - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vibonese - Vigor Lamezia	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Ragusa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.12.25	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Sancataldese - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Nissa - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sancataldese - Castrumfavara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTLW

Vigor Lamezia - Sancataldese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide