Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 19

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Sancataldese		Igea Virtus Barcellona

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.2	2.42
	2.64	3.26	2.45	Watch
	2.57	3.2	2.43
	2.62	3.14	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.47)	3.2 ↓ (3.43)	2.45 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sancataldese
34.8%

Draw
28.3%

Igea Virtus Barcellona
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

26.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Sancataldese - Igea Virtus Barcellona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Longo S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 0 - 2, Cicirello G. ⚽,
70', 0 - 3, Samake B. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sancataldese won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sancataldese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sancataldese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Igea Virtus	6	3	2	1	14:11	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Sancataldese - Savoia	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Sancataldese - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLTWT
- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Savoia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
07.09.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Sancataldese	3:2
13.04.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Sancataldese	2:0
21.04.24	Sancataldese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:0
10.12.23	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Sancataldese	0:2
10.09.17	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Sancataldese	0:0
19.03.17	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Sancataldese	1:0

Sancataldese - Igea Virtus Barcellona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide