Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	ADA Jaén		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.4	3
	2.02	3.45	3.2
	1.97	3.47	3.09
	2.08	3.54	3.32	Watch
	2	3.44	3.24
	2.02	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.71)	3.46 ↑ (3.39)	3.18 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADA Jaén
45.1%

Draw
26.3%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.7%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

25.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADA Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADA Jaén's performance.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Universidad de Huánuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADA Jaén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ADA Jaén - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 3)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADA Jaén
Peruvian Liga 2
23.09.24	Deportivo Coopsol - ADA Jaén	2:1 ✺
17.09.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - ADA Jaén	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Santos - ADA Jaén	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	ADA Jaén - Deportivo Coopsol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLT
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
22.09.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0 ✺
16.09.24	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
12.09.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Coopsol	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	Alianza Huanuco awarded ✺
01.09.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLL?W

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
01.09.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADA Jaén	1:0
20.07.24	ADA Jaén - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1
30.05.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADA Jaén	2:0

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