Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Round 22

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Vlotter (Heemskerk)


	ADO 20 Heemskerk		BVV Barendrecht

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.4
	4.6	4	1.58
	4.66	3.9	1.62
	4.79	4.04	1.64	Watch
	4.7	4.15	1.55
	4.6	4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↓ (6.59)	4.1 ↓ (4.55)	1.56 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO 20 Heemskerk
19%

Draw
22.3%

BVV Barendrecht
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

20.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

19.8%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO 20 Heemskerk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADO 20 Heemskerk's performance.

BVV Barendrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BVV Barendrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BVV Barendrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ADO 20 Heemskerk - BVV Barendrecht Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, de Bruin B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Helder J. ↓, Holtkamp S. ↑,
46', Blel Y. ↓, Knott S. ↑,
62', Vugts B. ↓, Mrowicki O. ↑,
74', Ouali R. ↓, Olijfveld R. ↑,
77', Schilling M. ↓, Groothusen T. ↑,
83', de Graaf T. ↓, Polak G. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Holtkamp S. ⚽, de Vre J. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie and 7).

ADO 20 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Barendrecht is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barendrecht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barendrecht is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ADO 20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1.5:4).

Including matches at home between the teams ADO 20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
04.02.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis	0:4 ✺
01.02.25	Koninklijke HFC - ADO 20 Heemskerk	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Amsterdamsche FC	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - De Treffers	0:3 ✺
11.01.25	Katwijk - ADO 20 Heemskerk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLL
- BVV Barendrecht
Dutch Tweede Divisie
01.02.25	BVV Barendrecht - Katwijk	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	ACV - BVV Barendrecht	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	BVV Barendrecht - Excelsior Maassluis	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	Noordwijk - BVV Barendrecht	1:0 ET ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
11.01.25	HHC Hardenberg - BVV Barendrecht	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.09.24	BVV Barendrecht - ADO 20 Heemskerk	5:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
27.10.21	ADO 20 Heemskerk - BVV Barendrecht	2:3 ET

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