Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Duinwetering (Noordwijk)


	Noordwijk		BVV Barendrecht

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.75
	2.07	3.85	2.8
	2.04	3.93	2.94
	2.09	4.03	2.96	Watch
	2.07	3.8	2.84	Watch
	2.07	3.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.33)	3.86 ↓ (3.89)	2.85 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noordwijk
44.2%

Draw
23.7%

BVV Barendrecht
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

23.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

23.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noordwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

BVV Barendrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BVV Barendrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BVV Barendrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Noordwijk - BVV Barendrecht Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Roggeveen J. (G) 3. Reinders D. 15. da Fonseca G. 37. Groot K. 5. Strooker J. 8. Franken B. 26. Bosma S. 10. Reemnet R. 25. Roep A. 31. Wendt E. (C) 16. El Kharbachi M.	1. Meer Bradley (G) 12. Schop C. 3. de Graaf T. 7. Monster D. 15. Rook K. 6. Bayram T. 8. Jongman J. 18. de Bruin B. 10. van der Stoep R. 9. Drexhage T. 11. Serghini A.
Substitutes
9. Hak J. 18. Marbus R. 20. Neto 1. Schol B. (G) 11. Tjin-Asjoe V. 4. Vink M. 22. Zethof T.	2. Brand J. 20. Gomes J. (G) 21. Mrowicki O. 14. Olijfveld R. 24. Ouali R. 4. Vermeer W. 17. Vugts B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Schop C. ↓, Brand J. ↑,
40', da Fonseca G. 🟥,
42', 0 - 1, Jongman J. (Pen),
44', Roep A. ↓, Vink M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Drexhage T. ↓, Olijfveld R. ↑,
50', Monster D. ↓, Vermeer W. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Wendt E. ⚽, Franken B. (A),
62', Jongman J. 🟨,
75', Rook K. ↓, Mrowicki O. ↑,
75', van der Stoep R. ↓, Vugts B. ↑,
76', El Kharbachi M. ↓, Hak J. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Serghini A. ⚽, Mrowicki O. (A),
83', Reemnet R. ↓, Marbus R. ↑,
87', Vink M. 🟨,
90+6', Meer Bradley 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

Noordwijk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barendrecht has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Noordwijk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Noordwijk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noordwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
19.04.25	Koninklijke HFC - Noordwijk	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Noordwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Noordwijk	0:3 ✺
22.03.25	Noordwijk - Katwijk	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	ACV - Noordwijk	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LWWTW
- BVV Barendrecht
Dutch Tweede Divisie
19.04.25	BVV Barendrecht - Quick Boys	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Scheveningen - BVV Barendrecht	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	BVV Barendrecht - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - BVV Barendrecht	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	BVV Barendrecht - Spakenburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	Noordwijk - BVV Barendrecht	1:0 ET
Dutch Tweede Divisie
23.11.24	BVV Barendrecht - Noordwijk	2:2

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