The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BVV Barendrecht 36.6%
Draw 22.6%
Excelsior Maassluis 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
24.8%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
24%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
BVV Barendrecht - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 3. de Graaf T. 7. Monster D. (C) 15. Rook K. 8. Jongman J. 6. Bayram T. 18. de Bruin B. 21. Mrowicki O. 17. Vugts B. 11. Serghini A.
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 8. Udenhout J. 6. van Eerden J. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 30. Hamd Y. 10. Madi A. 19. van der Velden S. 11. Tavares Q. 27. Plank D. 24. Lopes Varela D.
Substitutes
10. Fortes E. 5. Jouhri N. 30. Kooiman M. (G) 26. Oost T. 24. Ouali R. 9. van der Heiden D. 4. Vermeer W.
26. Bronder S. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 4. Heuvelman D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 12. Riley B. 17. Slagveer D. 9. Wennekers B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Monster D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lopes Varela D. ↓, Riley B. ↑,
52', Vugts B. 🟨,
59', Monster D. ↓, Jouhri N. ↑,
70', van der Velden S. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
73', Udenhout J. 🟨,
76', de Bruin B. ↓, Fortes E. ↑,
80', van Eerden J. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
80', Hamd Y. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
82', Vugts B. ↓, van der Heiden D. ↑,
82', Jongman J. ↓, Ouali R. ↑,
86', Riley B. 🟨,
88', Madi A. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
89', van der Heiden D. 🟨,
90', Nagtegaal N. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Mrowicki O. ⚽, Serghini A. (A),
90+3', 1 - 1, Nagtegaal N. ⚽,
90+5', Fortes E. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Tureaij C. ⚽, Nagtegaal N. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barendrecht won 2.
Recent performances by Barendrecht have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Excelsior Maassluis is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barendrecht won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Barendrecht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Barendrecht
8
4
2
2
15:12
3
14
Last Results with these Odds
BVV Barendrecht - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.4%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
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Meer Bradley (G) 
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